SS+Djibouti+neg+-+Public+Health+Ans

1. They cant solve drug resistant strains—They don’t solve infrastructure in Africa—at best they will increase infrastructure programs in Djibouti means they cant access their Cohen evidence—the emergence of drug resistance strains is inevitable post plan

2. Airborne viruses are unstopped and unpredictable even if the plan creates labs to do the diagnostic testing Cohen calls for

__South China__ Morning __Pos____t__ quoting Dr. Ben-Abraham, called "one of the 100 greatest minds in history" by Mensa, 1-4-19__96__ (Avi, “Leading the way to a cure for AIDS,” P. Lexis)

Despite the importance of the discovery of the "facilitating" cell, it is not what Dr Ben-Abraham wants to talk about. There is a much more pressing medical crisis at hand - one he believes the world must be alerted to: the possibility of a virus deadlier than HIV. If this makes Dr Ben-Abraham sound like a prophet of doom, then he makes no apology for it. AIDS, the Ebola outbreak which killed more than 100 people in Africa last year, the flu epidemic that has now affected 200,000 in the former Soviet Union - they are all, according to Dr Ben-Abraham, the "tip of the iceberg". Two decades of intensive study and research in the field of virology have convinced him of one thing: in place of natural and man-made disasters or nuclear warfare, humanity could face extinction because of a single virus, deadlier than HIV. "__An airborne virus is a lively, complex and dangerous organism," he said. "__It can come from __a rare animal or from__ anywhere and __can__ mutate constantly. If there is no cure, it affects one person and then there is a chain reaction and it is unstoppable. It is a tragedy waiting to happen."That may sound like a far-fetched plot for a Hollywood film, but Dr Ben -Abraham said history has already proven his theory. Fifteen years ago, few could have predicted the impact of AIDS on the world. Ebola has had sporadic outbreaks over the past 20 years and the only way the deadly virus - which turns internal organs into liquid - could be contained was because it was killed before it had a chance to spread. Imagine, he says, if it was closer to home: an outbreak of that scale in London, New York or Hong Kong. It could happen anytime in the next 20 years - theoretically, it could happen tomorrow.The shock of the AIDS epidemic has prompted virus experts to admit "that something new is indeed happening and that the threat of a deadly viral outbreak is imminent", said Joshua Lederberg of the Rockefeller University in New York, at a recent conference. He added that the problem was "very serious and is getting worse". Dr Ben-Abraham said: "Nature isn't benign. The survival of the human species is not a preordained evolutionary programme. Abundant sources of genetic variation exist for viruses to learn how to mutate and evade the immune system." He cites the 1968 Hong Kong flu outbreak as an example of how viruses have outsmarted human intelligence. And as new "mega-cities" are being developed in the Third World and rainforests are destroyed, disease-carrying animals and insects are forced into areas of human habitation. "This raises the very real possibility that lethal, mysterious viruses would, for the first time, infect humanity at a large scale and imperil the survival of the human race," he said.

3. The plan only effects Djibouti this has two implications—

First, They don’t stabilize the region—even if the task force operated outside of Djibouti the plan test restricts that action Second, They don’t solve dependence—even if Djibouti becomes self sufficient the rest of Africa will be dependant on foreign aid

4. Without surveillance and outbreak of disease is inevitable. New disease strands are emerging because of increased exposure to animals carrying pathogens – current surveillance is not adequate to detect these strands until after the out break to Health in the 21st Century Board on Global Health, __03__ (Microbial Threats To Health//: Emergence, Detection, And Response//, Mark S. Smolinski, Margaret A. Hamburg, and Joshua Lederberg, Editors; Institute Of Medicine Of The National Academies, NAP, p.154) [T Chenoweth]

Developing countries in which high proportions of the population experience morbidity and/ or mortality from infectious diseases may be the least likely to be encompassed by official statistics because of this lack of resources. Basic health indices, such as death rates or causes of death, are unknown in such contexts. Health ministries may generate health reports, but the data are generally unreliable. Such numbers have been used as the basis for broad policy recommendations; if the numbers are incorrect, however, the resulting policies can be damaging. In addition to monitoring disease burden, surveillance efforts should be expanded and diversified to include the capacity to recognize previously unknown illnesses or unusual outbreaks of disease that may have global significance. With today’s rapid and often mass global movements of people, animals, __and__ goods, the transnational spread of infectious diseases can occur quickly and easily. Global surveillance, especially for newly recognized infectious diseases, is therefore crucial in responding to and containing microbial threats before isolated outbreaks develop into regional or worldwide epidemics.